Hezbollah is Watching

One question in coming days and weeks will be whether Iran will look to Hezbollah to be a part of that escalatory response, including against U.S. targets and targets inside Israel. Hezbollah has already launched rockets at Haifa. They haven’t gone all in yet. They’re calculating. Watching. Waiting to see how badly Iran bleeds before deciding whether to fully commit. Meanwhile, Israeli air attacks on … Continue reading Hezbollah is Watching

Russia Must He Loving Every Bit Of This As Putin Laughs All The Way To The Bank

The greatest beneficiaries of the United States’ grave violations of international law are the very actors whom Washington would normally seek to restrain: Moscow will be emboldened to continue its barbaric assault on Ukraine, while China will feel vindicated. Russia gets higher oil prices. Russia gets a distracted America. Russia gets a weakened international legal order that it can point to and say, see, everyone … Continue reading Russia Must He Loving Every Bit Of This As Putin Laughs All The Way To The Bank

Over 150 Ships Are Stranded In The Strait 

As of March 1, 2026, approximately 170 containerships with a combined capacity of around 450,000 TEU, roughly 1.4 percent of the entire global container fleet, were inside the strait and unable to exit. These are ships full of grain, medicine, electronics, car parts, consumer goods. Sitting there. Going nowhere. Every day they sit is another day the global supply chain seizes up a little tighter. … Continue reading Over 150 Ships Are Stranded In The Strait 

Khamenei is Dead. Now what?

The operation began with joint strikes by the US and Israel which included the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, whose compound was destroyed, as well as Ali Shamkhani and several other Iranian officials. Khamenei is dead. The head of state of a nation of 90 million people was killed by a foreign government without a declaration of war, without a trial, without any legal … Continue reading Khamenei is Dead. Now what?

The IAEA Said What?

On 2 March, the IAEA said that it had “no indication that any of the nuclear installations” had been hit or damaged in the strikes. Wait. Stop. The entire stated justification for this war was Iran’s nuclear program. America dropped thousands of bombs across 24 provinces. And the international nuclear watchdog, the people whose actual job is tracking this, says the nuclear sites are intact? … Continue reading The IAEA Said What?

How many people does it take for the United States of America to go to war?

How many Americans is it appropriate to consult before starting a war? According to the Trump administration: eight. The Gang of Eight refers to a special group of eight members of Congress, including the four top Republicans and Democrats in the House and Senate, as well as the chairperson and ranking member of the House and Senate Select Committees on Intelligence. Eight people, briefed in … Continue reading How many people does it take for the United States of America to go to war?

Who Benefits from the War in Iran. Follow the money

Iran is in chaos. The Strait is closed. Russia stands to benefit as India and China pivot away from disrupted Middle East supply. U.S. domestic oil and gas producers, they are the ones with deep ties to the current administration,  are watching their margins explode. After recent investments in LNG terminals, the U.S. is the world’s largest exporter of LNG. Higher prices boost companies that … Continue reading Who Benefits from the War in Iran. Follow the money