Category: Dispatch

Dispatch, The Rising Ledger

South Africa Will Be Next After Iran

Israel has already indicated through a blog that appeared in the Times of Israel on 2 January 2026, largely ignored by African media, that it would like to see Africa further fragmented, beginning with South Africa. With a US base in Botswana, South Africa probably has very little chance of countering any combined US-Israeli aggression. Its internal divisions are deep, especially along racial lines. White … Continue reading South Africa Will Be Next After Iran

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Dispatch, The Rising Ledger

The Cape Of Good Hope Is Open For Business

International shipping groups including Maersk announced on 1 March that they were rerouting vessels bound for the Red Sea via southern Africa. The Cape of Good Hope. That stretch of ocean at the bottom of this continent, the one the Portuguese named and the world has mostly ignored since the Suez Canal opened in 1869, is suddenly the world’s most important shipping detour. When the … Continue reading The Cape Of Good Hope Is Open For Business

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Dispatch, The Rising Ledger

Burkina Faso, Burundi, DRC, Liberia, Mozambique

Based on factors including fiscal balance, petroleum import reliance, poverty and national wealth, Janes assesses Burkina Faso, Burundi, Central African Republic, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Liberia, and Mozambique to be particularly vulnerable given acute fiscal fragility and high energy vulnerability.  The band are the names of the countries on the list of most exposed to the economic fallout of a war they had nothing … Continue reading Burkina Faso, Burundi, DRC, Liberia, Mozambique

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Dispatch, REALITY BITES, The Rising Ledger

Nine Countries Cut Interest Rates Before The Bombs Dropped

Nine African countries including Nigeria, Kenya, Egypt and the Democratic Republic of Congo earlier this year cut interest rates, citing lower inflation, high foreign demand for their local-currency denominated bonds and current account surpluses. Nine countries. Months of careful fiscal management. Coordinated monetary policy. The quiet, unglamorous work of keeping economies stable enough to grow. Then on February 28th the bombs started falling on Tehran … Continue reading Nine Countries Cut Interest Rates Before The Bombs Dropped

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Dispatch, REALITY BITES, The Rising Ledger

The Price At The Pump In Marondera

Zimbabwe’s fuel price was $1.54 per litre in November 2025. That was before Brent crude was $61 a barrel. Brent is now above $100 and steadily climbing. Now petrol per litre is USD 2.08. A prolonged conflict or at the Strait of Hormuz could see prices skyrocket toward $120 to $140 per barrel. Zimbabwe’s fuel pricing framework adds government levies, the Strategic Reserve Levy, carbon … Continue reading The Price At The Pump In Marondera

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Dispatch, The Rising Ledger

The Rising Ledger Volume III: At The Brink of World War 3 Issues #51 to #65

Issue #51: The Strait Is The Global Food Chain One-fifth of globally traded oil moved1 through the Strait of Hormuz every day. Twenty-two percent of global LNG. Qatar’s Ras Laffan facility which is the source of roughly 20 percent of global LNG exports was struck by Iranian drones and shut down production at the start of the 2026 Iran War. Marine insurance premiums are still … Continue reading The Rising Ledger Volume III: At The Brink of World War 3 Issues #51 to #65

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Dispatch, The Rising Ledger

The Nuclear Surveillance Architecture is Gone

Arms control doesn’t just mean treaties. It means inspections. Verification. Satellites watching missile silos. Inspectors counting warheads. Communication channels between adversaries so that a radar malfunction doesn’t get interpreted as an incoming strike. The 1983 Soviet satellite false alarm nearly ended the world. A Soviet officer named Stanislav Petrov chose not to report what his instruments showed as an incoming American first strike, and he … Continue reading The Nuclear Surveillance Architecture is Gone

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Dispatch, The Rising Ledger

India and Pakistan fired Missiles at each other

In May 2025 — approx ten months ago — India and Pakistan, both nuclear-armed states, engaged in four days of open conflict involving cross-border drone and missile attacks. The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists described it as “nuclear brinkmanship.” Two countries with a combined nuclear arsenal of roughly 300 warheads exchanged live fire for four days and the world did not end. The crisis de-escalated. … Continue reading India and Pakistan fired Missiles at each other

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Dispatch, The Rising Ledger

NATO Has Less Than Five Percent Of Air Defense Capabilities Needed

NATO states have less than 5 percent of the air defence capabilities necessary to protect central and eastern Europe from large-scale attack. That figure comes from the Financial Times, sourced from European officials. Less than 5 percent. The alliance exists and their  flags fly. The summits happen. The communiqués are issued. The spending pledges are made. And yet the actual physical infrastructure required to defend … Continue reading NATO Has Less Than Five Percent Of Air Defense Capabilities Needed

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Dispatch, The Rising Ledger

The Flying Chernobyl

Russia tested the Burevestnik nuclear-powered cruise missile in October 2025. The missile is nicknamed “Flying Chernobyl” because it emits radioactive exhaust from its unshielded reactor. It can fly for 15 hours non-stop and cover 14,000 kilometres. Putin says its true range could be unlimited. A nuclear-powered missile with potentially unlimited range that leaves a trail of radioactive contamination wherever it flies. This is a real … Continue reading The Flying Chernobyl

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