South Africa Will Be Next After Iran

Israel has already indicated through a blog that appeared in the Times of Israel on 2 January 2026, largely ignored by African media, that it would like to see Africa further fragmented, beginning with South Africa. With a US base in Botswana, South Africa probably has very little chance of countering any combined US-Israeli aggression. Its internal divisions are deep, especially along racial lines. White … Continue reading South Africa Will Be Next After Iran

The Cape Of Good Hope Is Open For Business

International shipping groups including Maersk announced on 1 March that they were rerouting vessels bound for the Red Sea via southern Africa. The Cape of Good Hope. That stretch of ocean at the bottom of this continent, the one the Portuguese named and the world has mostly ignored since the Suez Canal opened in 1869, is suddenly the world’s most important shipping detour. When the … Continue reading The Cape Of Good Hope Is Open For Business

Burkina Faso, Burundi, DRC, Liberia, Mozambique

Based on factors including fiscal balance, petroleum import reliance, poverty and national wealth, Janes assesses Burkina Faso, Burundi, Central African Republic, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Liberia, and Mozambique to be particularly vulnerable given acute fiscal fragility and high energy vulnerability.  The band are the names of the countries on the list of most exposed to the economic fallout of a war they had nothing … Continue reading Burkina Faso, Burundi, DRC, Liberia, Mozambique

Nine Countries Cut Interest Rates Before The Bombs Dropped

Nine African countries including Nigeria, Kenya, Egypt and the Democratic Republic of Congo earlier this year cut interest rates, citing lower inflation, high foreign demand for their local-currency denominated bonds and current account surpluses. Nine countries. Months of careful fiscal management. Coordinated monetary policy. The quiet, unglamorous work of keeping economies stable enough to grow. Then on February 28th the bombs started falling on Tehran … Continue reading Nine Countries Cut Interest Rates Before The Bombs Dropped

The Price At The Pump In Marondera

Zimbabwe’s fuel price was $1.54 per litre in November 2025. That was before Brent crude was $61 a barrel. Brent is now above $100 and steadily climbing. Now petrol per litre is USD 2.08. A prolonged conflict or at the Strait of Hormuz could see prices skyrocket toward $120 to $140 per barrel. Zimbabwe’s fuel pricing framework adds government levies, the Strategic Reserve Levy, carbon … Continue reading The Price At The Pump In Marondera

Since We Are Already Amending, Let’s Dump The Dumb Shit In Our Constitution

Zimbabwe is amending its constitution. Parliament has confirmed it and governing party ZANU-PF has the numbers to make it happen. The public hearings on this issue lasted less than a week across a country of 15 million people, which works out to roughly one hour of democracy per province if you are being generous with the arithmetic. We are doing this since the amendment is … Continue reading Since We Are Already Amending, Let’s Dump The Dumb Shit In Our Constitution

Zimbabwe’s CAB3 Will Make A Treasonous Coup Way More Easier If Passed

Zimbabwe has always had a gift for doing things no one thought to put in the rulebook. We invented the “constitutional coup” before anyone else thought the phrase made grammatical sense. In November 2017 the military rolled tanks to the national broadcaster, a general read a statement off a sheet of paper and, Robert Mugabe was gone by morning. Nobody called it what it was … Continue reading Zimbabwe’s CAB3 Will Make A Treasonous Coup Way More Easier If Passed

When The Boss Needs Someone To Blame

Why Did Trump Fire Pam Bondi And Throw Caroline Leavitt Under The Bus? There is a pattern in how Donald Trump manages people, and it has nothing to do with performance. It has everything to do with polls. On March 31, standing in the Oval Office, Trump complained to reporters that he was receiving “93% bad publicity.” Rather than consider that the publicity might reflect … Continue reading When The Boss Needs Someone To Blame

The Rising Ledger Volume III: At The Brink of World War 3 Issues #51 to #65

Issue #51: The Strait Is The Global Food Chain One-fifth of globally traded oil moved1 through the Strait of Hormuz every day. Twenty-two percent of global LNG. Qatar’s Ras Laffan facility which is the source of roughly 20 percent of global LNG exports was struck by Iranian drones and shut down production at the start of the 2026 Iran War. Marine insurance premiums are still … Continue reading The Rising Ledger Volume III: At The Brink of World War 3 Issues #51 to #65

The Nuclear Surveillance Architecture is Gone

Arms control doesn’t just mean treaties. It means inspections. Verification. Satellites watching missile silos. Inspectors counting warheads. Communication channels between adversaries so that a radar malfunction doesn’t get interpreted as an incoming strike. The 1983 Soviet satellite false alarm nearly ended the world. A Soviet officer named Stanislav Petrov chose not to report what his instruments showed as an incoming American first strike, and he … Continue reading The Nuclear Surveillance Architecture is Gone